US Presidential Elections 2024: Will wildcard candidates spoil Trump, Biden’s bid? , world News

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New Delhi: Recent surveys in the United States ahead of the 2024 presidential elections indicate that voters are reluctant to choose between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. There is a growing possibility that the country may once again be inclined towards an independent candidate. Despite the last independent president being George Washington, numerous polls show that citizens are now willing to consider independent or third-party campaigns.

However, no independent or third-party candidate has presented a solid case against Biden and Trump, and neither has a significant chance of winning. Nevertheless, analysts suggest they could disrupt the election and sway a close election in either direction.

Independent candidates pose a threat to the status quo

Democrats in particular fear that a wildcard candidate would hurt their chances, recalling how Green Party standard-bearer Jill Stein hamstrung the work for Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Political consultant Douglas McKinnon, a White House aide in the Reagan years, believes John F. Kennedy’s nephew, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is shaping 2024 into a real three-person race, and is skeptical of those pundits. Do the Republicans who didn’t vote for Trump. There is hope in 2016.

Along with anti-vaccine activist Kennedy, political activist, philosopher Cornel West and physician Jill Stein are also launching third-party bids for the presidency, posing the biggest threat to the status quo.

Even as recent polls conducted by the NORC Center for Public Affairs Research and the University of Massachusetts Amherst indicate that more than half of voters are dissatisfied with the prospect of a rerun of the 2020 election, Biden and Trump already battled. Started drawing lines. In the RealClearPolitics polling average, Biden and Trump are neck-and-neck.

Kennedy’s candidacy could harm Biden more than Trump

However, when Kennedy is included as a candidate, he receives 17 percent of the vote, giving Trump a five percentage point advantage. Recent Reuters/Ipsos polls indicate that Kennedy Jr. could potentially influence Biden more than Trump in the presidential election. This scenario reflects the historical pattern where third-party candidates have influenced the outcomes of US elections even without winning.

Despite respondents having the option to choose third-party candidates, including Kennedy with 8 percent support, Trump maintained a six percentage point lead over Biden in the Reuters/Ipsos polling.